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The Investor Diary Entry #60: Aug 31, 2024
Having a solid trading plan is like having a road map on a long journey. It guides you through the inevitable ups and downs and keeps you focused on your destination.
I can’t emphasize enough how crucial a well-structured plan is for long-term success in forex trading. Without it, you’d be like a ship adrift at sea without a compass. Trust me, you don’t want to be caught in a storm without a plan.
After months of research, practice, and countless trials, I finally finalized my trading methodology. This wasn’t an overnight success but a meticulous process that involved fine-tuning every detail.
Throughout my journey, I’ve learned that the core of a successful trading plan lies in its comprehensiveness. You have to integrate various tools, techniques, and strategies to form a cohesive plan. It’s not just about identifying the right entry and exit points but about understanding the bigger picture and being prepared for every possible scenario.
So, why should you care? A trading plan not only boosts your confidence but also helps you maintain discipline. It’s easy to get swayed by market emotions like fear and greed, but a trading plan keeps you grounded and rational .
In the upcoming sections, I’ll break down my trading plan step-by-step. You’ll see how I use different technical analysis tools, apply multi-time frame analysis, and find safe trading positions. This way, you can understand how to create a well-rounded plan that suits your trading style. Let’s get started!
Components of My Forex Trading Methodology
Developing a sound trading methodology isn’t just about picking a few indicators and hoping for the best. It’s about combining various tools to form a cohesive strategy that works under different market conditions.
Volume and Key Levels : One of the first things I look for are key volume zones, support and resistance levels, and pivot points. These give me a solid idea of where the price is most likely to react. They are my bread and butter for predicting potential price movements.
Fibonacci Retracement : Next up, Fibonacci retracement levels. These are incredibly useful for spotting potential reversal points. Based on the Fibonacci sequence, they provide insights into where the price might pull back before continuing its original trend.
ABC Formation : I’m also a big fan of the ABC formation. This classic pattern is great for confirming potential price moves. It’s simple yet effective in refining my trading signals.
MACD and RSI : To gauge market momentum and strength, I rely on MACD and RSI indicators. The MACD helps me spot divergences and potential trend changes, while the RSI keeps tabs on overbought or oversold conditions. These two are essential for understanding market sentiment.
Supply and Demand Zones : Identifying supply and demand zones is another crucial component. These zones help pinpoint where buying or selling pressure might impact the price, offering prime entry and exit points.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) : I use the 20, 50, 100, and 200 EMAs to get a good read on the overall trend and price dynamics. They act as my trend confirmation tools and help identify support and resistance levels.
So, there it is, my toolkit for forex trading. Each component plays a specific role in the overall strategy, helping me make informed and precise trading decisions.
Multi-Time Frame Analysis for Enhanced Market Insight
Utilizing multi-time frame analysis gives you a clearer, more comprehensive view of the market. Trust me, getting the full picture can mean the difference between a winning and a losing trade.
Monthly and Weekly Charts : At the end or start of each month, I look at the monthly and weekly charts. This helps in understanding the broader market context and spotting large-scale trends and key levels. On other weekends, I stick to the weekly and daily charts to stay aligned with ongoing market dynamics.
Daily and 4-Hour Charts : These are my go-to during the week. Analyzing daily and 4-hour charts helps me keep track of key price movements and trends. These time frames offer a balanced view — neither too long-term nor too short-term, which is just what you need to identify important trading opportunities.
1-Hour Chart : To fine-tune my entries and exits, I rely on the 1-hour chart. This closer look often builds on insights from the 4-hour chart and helps pinpoint the exact moments for pulling the trigger. It’s the final piece in the puzzle for executing trades with precision.
Using multiple time frames ensures that I’m never blind to the bigger picture or the finer details. This approach enables a thorough understanding of market dynamics, ensuring you make well-informed decisions at every step of your trading journey.
Executing the Plan: Finding Safe Trading Positions and Future Prospects
Ultimately, my aim is to identify safe buying and selling positions where the price is unlikely to breach significant levels. This approach minimizes risks and maximizes the potential for successful trades. By combining all the tools and techniques from my methodology, I can spot these high-probability opportunities with greater accuracy.
I’ve recently made some updates in my risk management strategy , like removing the scoring method. Simplifying this aspect allows me to focus more on executing trades with precision, without the added layer of complexity. It’s all about making the process as streamlined and efficient as possible.
Looking ahead, I’m keen on exploring additional tools such as the Gann Chart and regression channel. These could provide even more insights and further refine my strategy. However, I’m confident that my current plan, with its comprehensive approach, sets a solid foundation for achieving my trading goals.
By sticking to my plan and implementing it with discipline, I believe consistent success is within reach. Remember, a well-rounded trading strategy isn’t a one-time setup. It’s an evolving process that requires constant learning and adaptation. Stay tuned for more updates as I continue to refine my strategy and share my experiences.
I am planning that my future diary entries will involve talking about examples of the trades that I took during the week. The future entries will also involve any changes that I will make to my trading or risk management plans.
By the way, this plan became final because of an on-site course that I took, that enabled me better understand Pivot levels and Fibonacci retracement and expansion.
The Investor
Saturday 31 August 2024
About The Author
I started to look into individual stocks in January 2022. I created this diary initially for myself to track my investing progress, and second, as a place where I can share my ideas publicly hoping that others will share their ideas and learn from each other, and lastly as an online business where some links that I share are affiliate links, and if anybody bought anything by clicking those links, I will get a commission based on that successful sale, which of course will not affect the price that you are buying the product or service at.
For more detailed information on my affiliate disclosure please refer to the Full Affiliate Disclosure page, and if you are interested in building your own online business you can check this post here .
Furthermore, this site is in no way or form is giving any financial or investing advice, nor it is encouraging or discouraging people to buy or sell any financial instrument. This is a personal diary in which I track my own progress and share it for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes.
Wow, this is a fantastic deep dive into creating a Forex trading plan! Your breakdown of the key components like Fibonacci retracement and multi-time frame analysis is top-notch. How do you find the balance between sticking to your strategy and adapting to market changes? Additionally, what has been the most surprising or enlightening aspect of developing this plan? I’m curious about how beginners can implement this comprehensive strategy without feeling overwhelmed. Thanks for sharing such valuable content!
Gabriel John
Hello Gabriel, thank you for your comment. Market changes that affect a trading plan happen over a prolonged period of time. Therefore, this is something to be observed by monitoring the Win-Lose ratio and if any changes that is happening to that ratio that seem not normal, then an analysis need to be made to know the reasons behind those changes regardless if the the change is with or against the trader.
The most surprising aspect came in realizing that what I need to look at are critical positions on the chart, this is something that I wrote in my last article.
Beginners need to educate themselves first, and then move gradually. This gradual approach is the whole reason I created this blog, as I document the gradual steps that I am taking towards investment as well as towards trading.
Thank you again for a comment that made me delve further into the details of my trading plan journey.
I love how you broke down the strategy into manageable steps—it really makes the whole process feel less overwhelming. Your emphasis on risk management is especially important; it’s something that often gets overlooked. I’m curious, though—what do you think is the most common mistake traders make when developing their plans? It’d be great to hear your thoughts on how to avoid those pitfalls!
Hello Andy, Thank you very much for your comment. The most common mistake is dealing with trading as gambling. Trading is a business opportunity and should be treated as such. I have written a whole piece about this issue.
I appreciate this information on forex trading as I do not understand all of its details and what it takes to successfully invest. I see how a well- structured plan is essential from what you explained. Integrating tools, strategies, and techniques is a part of an overall plan to get some clarity on the big picture. You have provided extensive details and I will save your article for future reference and to share with friends and family who are interested in this type of trading. this is a valuable resource.
Thank you Joseph for your comment, one of my main objectives of creating this blog is to try to affect the mentality of the people who are interested in the realm of trading. Many enter trading with a gambling mindset, and I am trying to change that mindset to that of establishing a trading business.